Brett Honey’s WA Oaks Night Preview

Group 2 WA Oaks over 520m (Race 5)

A superb edition of the Oaks awaits us on Saturday, with the market heavily favouring those drawn towards the inside.

Mandurah Oaks winner Sunset Serengeti (box 2 – pictured) faired best from the box draw. She was superb winning from box 8 last week where she isn’t suited, and those box manners are becoming more reliable each week. I think she leads Shy Emoji (box 3) which is key, as that will allow her to settle top 3 in running at worst through the bend. She would be very hard to beat from there.

Miss Envy (box 4) is promising, with my only concern being how she steps in the first few strides. Girls Like You in box 5 will want to work towards to the rail and I expect both Sunset Lasso (box 1) and Serengeti to step on her inside. She’s only had three starts and this is a tough assignment.

I give a small hope to West On Miley in box 8 who has the ability to lead this field and can only improve off last week, where she ran 30.06 in defeat first time over this track and trip. She will be relying on some traffic behind her to sneak away up the back.

I’ll be on Sunset Serengeti in what is a fairly even race.

Bet: #2 Sunset Serengeti, very small save #8 West On Miley

 

Other Selections On The Card

Race 1 #1 Kuro save #2 Scramble Button

I have a few questions with Chole Star’s draw in this race. Kuro is very strong and will be better served drawn towards the inside with his lack of early speed. I will be saving on Scramble Button who finds a race she’s every chance to lead. We will be seeing a different dog if she finds the arm.

Race 2 #6 Skye Monelli

A very generous early price of $4.60 is available for Skye Monelli who is flying. She’s won four on the bounce over the staying journeys at both Cannington and Northam and is starting to run time as well. The clear danger is West On Nugget however, he’s taking a long time to warm up at the moment. Skye Monelli may have done the job by then.

Race 3 #3 Stylish In Black (each way)

This is a race full of characters who haven’t made a habit out of winning. Stylish In Black looks ready for a stint over 600 and drawing towards the rails helps. I expect her to settle relatively close and can play a part from there.

Race 6 #4 Hippy Trail

Hippy Trail won’t find a more winnable race than this. Small field suits and can break 35 seconds unlike most of her opposition here. She may get back but will descend late.

Race 8 #5 Obsessed Much save #1 Mohican Mistress (place heavy)

I think Obsessed Much can break the line in this and she posted 21.67 when doing so four starts back. There’s no real pace drawn underneath her, which means she only has to deal with Steel Girl in box 6.

Mohican Mistress won’t miss a place from the red. She can begin much better from the inside and has become a professional placegetter in recent times.