Brett Honey’s Preview of the WA Derby Final and Oaks Heats

If you already have plans for this Saturday night, cancel them, because this card at Cannington is one of the best we will have all year. The young guns strut their stuff with the feature on the card being the Group 2 Britton’s Formal Wear WA Derby Final. The girls will also have their time to shine with four heats of the WA Oaks, and the FFA on the program wouldn’t look out of place if it was the Perth Cup final. This is a night that is simply not to be missed so get trackside, fill up your betting accounts and get stuck in! We’ll look at the Group 2 feature as well as the four Oaks heats in this preview.

 

Race 2 – WA Oaks Heat 1

A nice way to start the Oaks heats and the market has identified the bookends, Tweak Freak and Flying Freda, as the main chances to get the cash. I’m firmly in the camp of Flying Freda and she’s my favourite to go on with the job next week. Three starts back she just couldn’t grab Disco Daisy on the line, before having the unenviable task of chasing Lentil Monelli at her next outing. Whilst she couldn’t get over from box 8 last start, she’ll get plenty of room to operate with Red Hot Annie in box 7 and the early speed is primarily concentrated in boxes 1 and 2.

Tweak Freak has her fair share of ability as well, but I’d much rather her on the arm and Notorious Harada (box 2) will be giving her no peace in the early stages. Given that Flying Freda can run on, I’m more than happy to team up with her. Ballistic Ant (box 5) and Saige Tenniele (box 4) are the two who I’d be keeping safe for exotics plays. Both can run on and capitalise on any trouble up front.

Bet: #8 Flying Freda

 

Race 3 – WA Oaks Heat 2

Plenty of food for thought in this race, with Disco Daisy a warm favourite in early betting. Daisy does look the most consistent at box rise and box 8 should be no hinderance. The main question here was her last run where she was caught by Sand Patch, clocking 30.19. This was well below her PB of 29.81 and a greyhound did run 29.67 on the night. She is a young dog who has only had 5 starts to date however, and you can trust that team Crudeli will have her firing.

Leg Press and All Over Kaisha look to be the main challenges to Disco Daisy for the early lead but neither of those are exactly push button. Chloe Ant and Bell Mac Blazer will be the leading contenders to capitalise on any misfortune, but it’s hard to pinpoint where they will land at that first turn.

I’m throwing up more questions then answers here, and it could be as straight forward as Disco Daisy rolling to the top and being too good for them. I would need at least $2.50 to consider a bet however.

Bet: #8 Disco Daisy (hoping for a little drift)

 

Race 4 – WA Oaks Heat 3

Whilst this might not be the best trip for Speed Freak, she simply could not ask for a better draw here. West On Blossom (box 3) and Canya Mia (box 4) will be vying for the early lead but are both much better with room to operate and favour the middle part of the track. I think they could bring each other undone, and with the outside division wanting the rail, I keep coming back to Speed Freak who only has to navigate All Over Katie early doors. The Galaxy runner up looks set to camp right on them and be too strong late.

West On Blossom is the obvious danger who if leading, would take all sorts of stopping. Canya Mia is very capable but has been finding all sorts of trouble at that first turn. I’ll trust the stayer to get it done.

Bet: #1 Speed Freak

 

 Race 5 – WA Oaks Heat 4

Treacherous punting race to round out the Oaks heats, where Rippin Grace (pictured) looks to have panels on them, but you’ll be taking a short price about a greyhound who will be last early. She was very good last week and whilst she’s never been one of mine, to do what she did last week and run 29.88 makes her look very hard to hold out here.

From box 8 there will still be the question of whether she can get to her beloved rail and for that reason, you won’t see me chiming into the $1.85 on offer. Bronte Blazer is to be respected from box 1 and has gone 29.57 at Northam. Speedy Willow can show some pace from box 2 as well and runs close to the 30.00 mark.

I can’t back Rippin Grace, but I can’t back against her.

No Bet

 

Race 6 – Group 2 WA Derby Final

The main event and this is a stunning edition of the Derby. Firstly, it’s worth mentioning the remarkable effort from Flake Monelli’s first litter. Custard Monelli, Crumble Monelli and Pudding Monelli have all made it through to our biggest age restricted race of the year and are three of the top four in the market. A wonderful litter from a wonderful bitch in Flake Monelli.

Crumble Monelli has to be the hardest to beat and in all likelihood, he rolls to the top and runs away with the Derby. But there are some question marks around his time from last week. After firing out early, Crumble clocked 30.02 which was only a length faster than Canya Cracken who was having his second race start. We know he can go much quicker than that and Hobby will have him ready to go on the night, but that does cast a small shadow of doubt at the $1.60 quote currently.

The last time Pudding Monelli had box 7 over this trip, he clocked a dazzling 29.60 and handled the outside beautifully. He can be suspect in a field, but I much prefer him outside of dogs and we know is very strong late. With all the pace in boxes 1-4, if Pudding Monelli negotiates Sneaky Peaky early, he can sit nice and handy and take all sorts of stopping.

Canya Cracken and Custard Monelli are the other two in the market. I struggle to see them leading in this and that’s why I’ve gone looking elsewhere. My Time in 5 can run on, just not sure where he gets to.

I really didn’t think I’d be doing this early in the week, but I’ll be backing Pudding Monelli to cause the upset in the Derby.

Bet: #7 Pudding Monelli