Brett Honey’s Perth Cup and Galaxy Heats Preview

Race 1: Galaxy Heat 1

Race 1 and it looks the perfect opportunity for Victoria to get on the board on heat night, with Ariarne Bale sitting pretty in box two. She was super winning the Fanta Bale Super Stayers at the Meadows, posting 42.31 coming from off the arm. There’s no immediate pace around her here, with both Romantic Flame and Rippin Grace not known for their early toe. The best dog has the best map, this should be straight forward for Ariarne Bale.

Pancake Monelli is an interesting inclusion in this year’s heats. The daughter of star stayer Flake Monelli has never been over further than 520 metres but did recently trial in 29.74. David Hobby is a master and did something similar with Lashes Monelli two years ago, who won a heat of the Galaxy at massive odds and made it through to the final. She’s the only other greyhound I’d consider backing on spec in this race, it really does look set up for the favourite.

Bet: #2 Ariarne Bale small save #6 Pancake Monelli

Race 2: Galaxy Heat 2

If the nation doesn’t know about Couch Surfer already, they are about to.

This up-and-coming star from the Chris Halse kennel produced one of the best wins I have seen at Cannington over the 715 two starts ago, where he gunned down Speed Freak after spotting him close to 12 lengths when they entered the home straight the first time around. He then made light work of the Galaxy Prelude last Saturday, in a field that consisted of Moraine Suzie and First Picked. He meets Moraine Suzie (box 5) again here and the box draw has only helped Couch Surfer further, with the Victorian having to contend with the pacey Adzuki Monelli in box 6.

He’s too short to back here Couch Surfer, but futures backers can expect the young gun to sit handy and be simply too good for them.

Bet: No betting, just watch the young gun do his thing.

Race 3: Galaxy Heat 3

It’s time to get off the fence and have a bet here, with Stagger Out Lee looking well placed in the final heat.

There’s a lot to like about Stagger Out Lee in this race. Her win in the Bold Trease last year was something to behold and was very Bold Trease-like, in how many lengths she took off them late to snatch victory. In recent times she has shown the ability to sit much closer in his races and won from box 6 in the Group 1 Zoom Top three starts ago. The fact that she hasn’t seen the track doesn’t worry me either, as she’s been up and down the East Coast and performed very well.

Tsar Bell will have his admirers and but is also his own worst enemy. Whilst he is navigating his way around greyhounds such as Chloe Ant and Blessed Doll, who will be battling at the back end of 715, Stagger Out Lee will be there to pounce.

Bet: #6 Stagger Out Lee

Race 4: Perth Cup Heat 1

The scratching of Wow She’s Fast provides an opportunity for our local trainers to book a ticket into the Perth Cup, with Jimmy’s Decision and Yahoo Serious looking the main two chances here.

I think the race is between those two and it will come down to which dog is in the better position at the first turn. There’s little between them. Jimmy’s Decision hasn’t been seen since the 4th of February which ordinarily would be some concern, but you can fully trust that trainer Paul Stuart has Jimmy ready to go for this assignment. He’s the best in the business. Box 8 and the small field plays into his hands here. He loves room to operate and being on the fresh side, I expect him to beginning well and settling handy, he’s never been run down career to date.

Yahoo Serious is the logical danger and refuses to run a bad race. He runs the times to win this race but does have to contend early with Refund Tux and Tiffany Keeping who can show some early dash. Not sure how much of a start he can give Jimmy.

Bet: #8 Jimmy’s Decision

Race 5: Perth Cup Heat 2

Australian Cup winner Fernando Mick is beautifully drawn in box 2, with no early speed around. He really is a marvel this bloke. Four years of age and in his 101st start, he took out one of the premier Group 1’s on the Australian calendar. He should be handling his business here.

WA should be getting right around my co-host on Greyhound Gold, David Shortte, who has a share in Eagle Monelli, and looks the only danger from box 8. He can run the time required if Mick finds trouble and with his tendency to race wide, is well drawn in the pink.

Bet: Cheering on the Eagle but no betting

Race 6: Perth Cup Heat 3

Cracking race this and the box draw makes it very interesting. Paddy Wants Pats is the class runner but is a massive risk for mine. His two recent efforts at Warragul and Warrnambool left a bit to be desired and have been his only starts in 2023. Custard Monelli in box 4 won’t give him any peace either, then you have to factor in the fence crashing Amplified (box 6), who I expect to begin much better with a vacant five.

I’ve gone searching for value with this in mind and have come up with box 7 Canya Mia. She can run this girl and I think she is much better when left alone early. My Time in box 8 isn’t known for his early speed which also helps. She’s not the best dog in the race, but the draw brings her right into calculations.

Bet: #7 Canya Mia

Race 7: Perth Cup Heat 4

Crumble Monelli is the topic of many conversations this week. He’s fast, but can he do it against the big boys?

He’s a short favourite to win his way through to the final where we would find out the answer to that question, however he can’t afford to make too many mistakes here. We know his last section is where he is suspect and Barrio Beast from box 4 will be making sure he earns the lead. Barrio Beast is the number one seed for Lewis Clay and has returned in sensational style. He too is breathtaking early which sets up a cracking battle between the two speedsters.

With Hinto not seen since early February and Momentum dropping back from the staying trip, it’s hard to take on Crumble Monelli with any confidence. I’ll sit on the fence here and watch.

No betting

Race 8: Perth Cup Heat 5

I’m very excited to watch Kelsey Bale live on Saturday night and she has the map to show her brilliant best. Carter Axelrod in box 3 shifts straight right out of the lids and Lupini Monelli in box 1 isn’t lightning early. This isn’t an overly deep race either, making it hard to mount a serious case for anything to challenge the star Victorian. Lupini Monelli can fill second place. Kelsey Bale will give him something to chase and his best time came in a feature final.  Solidified in box 6 is capable and can also fill a minor placing.

No betting

Race 9: Perth Cup Heat 6

This race is a cracker.

Electrified is the best dog by a mile, but he can be a little risky early and Fire Cloud (box 4) and Delphini (box 1) can show some early toe. I missed the $23 about Carlecatup (box 7) and I’m rather upset about it. This girl has some talent and I’m excited to see what she can do in 2023. She’s lightning early but posted her PB two starts ago (29.86) when not leading which is a good sign at a young age. Her run home was 11.32 that night and if she was to cross here, which is a live possibility, she won’t make it easy for them.

That being said, you can’t be making a large book against Electrified here, he is very, very good.

Bet: Something small on #7 Carlecatup

Race 10: Perth Cup Heat 7

Elite Machine has returned to WA in fine fashion. He was enormous first up winning in 29.59 before being something beat last week. He copped a heavy check through the catching pen where he lost all momentum, picked himself up and actually went away from Electrified up the back. Huge run. Paua Of Molly in box 1 isn’t beginning at Cannington and West On Cider in 3 takes a few strides to get going.

Titan Blazer looks to be the only one standing in his way, but his early splits recently in Victoria have only been fair. I seriously doubt whether he can give Elite Machine a start and beating. Elite Machine looks the one, his $2.10 quote isn’t far off where I marked him.

Bet: Race 10 #2 Elite Machine

Race 11: Perth Cup Heat 8

Granite Song is the fairy-tale story of this year’s Perth Cup and the entire WA greyhound fraternity would love to see this dog go all the way for Diane Carmody. Granite Song (box 3) has been somewhat of a giant slayer in 2023, notching wins over the likes of Electrified and Momentum in quick time. He has the heart of a lion, and he will need that in the early battle on Saturday night, with Rumblin Moment in box 4 who likes to head to the fence, and quickly.

The map is the only real concern for Granite Song, he has a bit on these and doesn’t let too many good opportunities slip. Hurricane Taylor (box 2) will be a big improver from his first up effort last week. He is naturally strong and if Granite Song begins well, he will get some room to operate and can put in a forward showing.

No betting

Race 12: Mix 4/5 380m

If you haven’t won by this time of the night, it’s probably time to stop. That being said, Smooth Move in box 1 does look very hard to beat.